TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof magic, Walczaki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked magic80c5,410$4,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9663157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Walczaki30c2,233$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.8475652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Walczaki29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Walczaki3c1,152$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.551,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki31c810.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.415,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Walczaki9c752.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.137842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Walczaki33c732.49$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked magic70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2919357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki22c684.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.016,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Walczaki30c654.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3817230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Walczaki3c515.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.952,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked magic69c510.33$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0363541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca96…7125backed magic70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed magic64c468$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.115,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked magic65c453$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.553,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Walczaki29c433.32$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.461,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed magic70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5722567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked magic70c411.43$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4335745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Walczaki3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Walczaki29c343.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7623146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Walczaki6c330$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2138032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed magic71c321.17$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1726360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed magic70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Walczaki10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da4…31bfbacked magic71c293.8$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.21952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki28c263.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.822,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked magic74c257.94$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.892,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked magic71c239$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5749536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed magic65c221.68$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713142%55 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed Walczaki29c203.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9914439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Walczaki26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed magic66c185.95$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.094,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed magic65c174.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.628240.2%33 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Walczaki34c155$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.112,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Walczaki34c155$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.71,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked magic69c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.510765.4%70 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x805d…f780backed magic69c144.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.162853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed magic71c141.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0317361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked Walczaki25c133.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4426535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed magic75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331963.2%12 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick78cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki34c133$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.922,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked magic69c132$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9223244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed magic71c131.69$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.191,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked magic68c128.8$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.833,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki28c127.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.214,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked magic68c126$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.281,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Walczaki32c125.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.111,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked magic70c124.56$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.072133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x358c…2f9abacked magic70c123.97$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked magic69c117.59$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Walczaki35c115.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Walczaki25c113$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2536446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed magic69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3141475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed magic78c90.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5129455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed magic75c85.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.462,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed magic70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2429465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked magic69c79.23$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.591,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce05…9176backed magic70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.438061.3%49 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Walczaki30c70.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3537848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Walczaki30c69.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111639.7%46 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed Walczaki31c67.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Walczaki33c65.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.747054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked magic70c60.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.252,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012b…7c42backed Walczaki25c53.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.69044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked magic70c51.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8527150.6%137 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba2…1acabacked Walczaki34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175217.3%9 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7c5…2353backed magic71c41.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.117250%36 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…3220backed magic69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed magic70c38.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5519347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac4…c8ccbacked magic79c38.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.092556%14 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed magic70c37.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2921454.2%116 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Walczaki29c34.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108031.3%25 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed magic72c33.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4814060%84 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed magic69c33.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3323963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Walczaki32c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5639840.5%161 W · 237 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b56…23b4backed magic68c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.481546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…a44dbacked magic70c28.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6110557.1%60 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf97f…dd8bbacked magic70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5711352.2%59 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked magic70c27.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.291,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked magic67c23.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8523835.3%84 W · 154 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic69c20.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.377,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked magic74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2721060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked magic66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x53c9…234dbacked magic70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65464.8%35 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.