CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93fb71d73698cb153364f5e46862cfd1e60ce5a94e06ad90945be865fcaa147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked magic | 77c | 6,924$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.83 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Walczaki | 32c | 5,753$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.16 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 32c | 4,697$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed magic | 67c | 4,212$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.15 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed magic | 60c | 2,900$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.16 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Walczaki | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked magic | 54c | 2,240$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.38 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki | 19c | 784.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed magic | 77c | 732.27$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 35c | 717.21$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Walczaki | 36c | 617.44$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Walczaki | 37c | 603$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.11 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed magic | 58c | 575.04$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked magic | 65c | 564.11$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.05 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Walczaki | 48c | 472.56$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Walczaki | 43c | 466.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Walczaki | 49c | 423.1$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Walczaki | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…cdcbbacked Walczaki | 38c | 400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki | 42c | 389.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Walczaki | 44c | 386$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Walczaki | 37c | 366.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 43c | 312.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed magic | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 34c | 288.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Walczaki | 51c | 283.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 24c | 279.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Walczaki | 47c | 267.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 32c | 253.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Walczaki | 27c | 221.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 38c | 220.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Walczaki | 33c | 200.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed magic | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked magic | 58c | 191$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki | 35c | 181.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked magic | 61c | 176.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 30c | 148.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki | 41c | 144.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed magic | 78c | 127.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Walczaki | 40c | 125.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked magic | 60c | 122.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 40c | 118.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Walczaki | 35c | 114.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Walczaki | 46c | 112.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked magic | 37c | 103$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Walczaki | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Walczaki | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Walczaki | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Walczaki | 31c | 97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked magic | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked magic | 55c | 86.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 62c | 84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed magic | 72c | 69.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Walczaki | 35c | 66.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki | 23c | 60.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Walczaki | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed magic | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Walczaki | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Walczaki | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked magic | 75c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed magic | 61c | 32.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Walczaki | 48c | 32.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Walczaki | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked magic | 54c | 30.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed magic | 58c | 30.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked magic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Walczaki | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…1129backed magic | 60c | 24.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…3ae5backed Walczaki | 51c | 20.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked magic | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked magic | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked magic | 79c | 15.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…d542backed magic | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnermagic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.