CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7d9aab135399602d86f6ea876dfbbeafb19b2deac9f8a16a9c0ddb4219c280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked magic | 77c | 6,850$5,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.48 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Walczaki | 22c | 4,215$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.03 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Walczaki | 20c | 1,334$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Walczaki | 36c | 1,120$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Walczaki | 2c | 800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 15c | 747.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic | 67c | 741.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.89 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed magic | 63c | 710$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 29c | 272.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 23c | 263.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…dd8bbacked Walczaki | 13c | 229.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Walczaki | 26c | 174.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 29c | 159.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed magic | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Walczaki | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Walczaki | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…b807backed Walczaki | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Walczaki | 39c | 128.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed magic | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked magic | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Walczaki | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Walczaki | 34c | 98.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 29c | 84.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki | 25c | 84.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked magic | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked magic | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 35c | 57.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked magic | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Walczaki | 35c | 47.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed magic | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked magic | 76c | 39.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…74bbbacked magic | 64c | 34.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…3ae5backed magic | 64c | 34.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki | 32c | 33.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Walczaki | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked magic | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked magic | 64c | 29.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed magic | 63c | 25.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnermagic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.