Asian League · resolved market
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8786b34888eca366e5ef65383b25cb42d8e02f899dcd355cf9ba287e86fc555f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Under | 56c | 16,881$9,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,416.88 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 3,122$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.76 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 46c | 1,105$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.82 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 1,026$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.84 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 936.48$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.46 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 45c | 933.87$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.63 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Over | 44c | 681.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 44c | 530.82$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.32 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 32c | 499.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 64c | 410.84$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 402.24$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 367.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 348.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 233.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 31c | 219.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 44c | 150.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 39c | 149.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…9a2abacked Under | 57c | 145$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…e863backed Over | 71c | 98.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 44c | 90.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 43c | 76.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…7cd5backed Over | 58c | 71.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 59c | 67.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 34c | 53.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 44c | 53.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 51.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Over | 38c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 57c | 45.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1826backed Over | 49c | 40.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 72c | 38.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3da3backed Over | 44c | 34.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…c024backed Over | 44c | 34.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 44c | 33.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 44c | 29.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…7be7backed Under | 55c | 28.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 55c | 23.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 44c | 23.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 56c | 18.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)Fagiano Okayama won
- Spread: Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)Fagiano Okayama won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Fagiano Okayama won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.