Asian League · resolved market
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca5a63b0a352837c78b5f8f520aef36eb9105bff5c1bbfc4ee403cd4670a8e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 810.79$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.96 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 27c | 78.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Yes | 64c | 45.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Yes | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)Fagiano Okayama won
- Spread: Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)Fagiano Okayama won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Fagiano Okayama won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.