Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b6f5fe86a7f89bcdd778c71c3f585ec95fec7021596e3910c2e08b4b89aa4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 4,147$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.59 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 3,373$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 3,061$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.36 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 74c | 2,906$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.64 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,882$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.17 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 2,837$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.06 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 27c | 2,152$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 1,903$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 73c | 1,903$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.78 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 1,888$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 27c | 1,252$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 1,131$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.91 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 72c | 1,103$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.71 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 807.63$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes | 26c | 770$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 25c | 609.08$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…97bebacked Yes | 27c | 581.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 27c | 545.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 399.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 78c | 302.22$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 287$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes | 5c | 264.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 260.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…9c21backed Yes | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 74c | 199.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 25c | 176.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 11c | 119.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…6779backed Yes | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 106.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 100.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 51 | 76.5%39 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 74c | 78.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 75c | 60.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 54.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 77c | 48.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 26c | 43.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 74c | 35.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 74c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 74c | 28.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…5e1fbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 73c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3da3backed No | 74c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked No | 74c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.