Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe128e5813eb410821d795dab24bc910006b525fc023852b3ad7665e9f426a116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 1c | 3,109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 3,076$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.33 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…b3e6backed Yes | 22c | 3,041$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,007$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.68 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 7c | 2,147$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 1,808$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.15 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76a…2986backed Yes | 1c | 1,571$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 9c | 1,463$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 21c | 1,298$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 1c | 1,119$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 23c | 989.78$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 931.14$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes | 22c | 872.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…97bebacked Yes | 22c | 581.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…f90abacked Yes | 9c | 422.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 22c | 319$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 13c | 299.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 22c | 295.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 77c | 198.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 194.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 185.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 78c | 183$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 77c | 177.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed No | 79c | 123.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 77c | 123$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…4c59backed Yes | 9c | 116.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 24c | 104.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…5438backed Yes | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 95.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes | 16c | 71.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 79c | 68.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 65.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 21c | 64.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1a…dfcfbacked Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 61.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…074bbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 55.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…c347backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked Yes | 20c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2ebbbacked No | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…d004backed No | 79c | 31.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 26.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…189fbacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 79c | 22.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 78c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f03fbacked No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 77c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.