MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bbd6ff6753dda764440bf246d0a60e0d6aa56a416446c867d9fc4f9138fd064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 8,270$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 49c | 6,099$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 4,701$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 1,052$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.29 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 1,019$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.21 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Houston Astros | 46c | 611.72$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 421.83$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Houston Astros | 43c | 317.85$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Houston Astros | 13c | 224.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 208.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Houston Astros | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 202.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 182.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 181.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 39c | 181.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 165.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Houston Astros | 48c | 125.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 101.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 87.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 86.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 43c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 75.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 73.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Houston Astros | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 69.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 47c | 64.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 61.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5609…9a60backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 40c | 53.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Houston Astros | 47c | 50.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Houston Astros | 47c | 46.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 45.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Houston Astros | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 40.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 39.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 32.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 30.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 29.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 29.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 26.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Houston Astros | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 24.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 23.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 22.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 21.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston AstrosLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 14.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.