MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52e326033369df843b5ce727da8f454b387aabf1b28339e2e1c2ec34dc9ad49b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $585,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 33c | 312,080$102,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,910.02 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 159,005$109,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,166.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…14f1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 95,000$60,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 35c | 27,068$9,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,474.14 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 24,613$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,612.59 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 23,077$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.92 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Houston Astros | 35c | 20,631$7,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,232 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Houston Astros | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 13,817$8,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.12 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 13,574$9,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.67 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 11,261$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.35 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 10,482$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 7,767$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.19 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 7,446$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.48 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 7,146$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.36 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…755bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 7,135$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 5,493$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 5,055$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.65 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 4,670$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 4,584$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 4,156$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.25 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 3,952$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.45 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…b1b1backed Houston Astros | 8c | 3,707$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 3,499$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.88 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 3,440$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 0c | 3,318$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 3,293$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.45 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 35c | 2,978$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.29 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 2,667$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.55 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 2,645$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.45 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 2,433$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.31 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Houston Astros | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 27c | 1,891$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 1,838$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.87 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 30c | 1,673$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.31 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,653$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.08 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 1,620$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 14c | 1,495$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,479$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,470$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.29 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,313$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.68 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,147$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.41 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 26c | 1,086$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 1,005$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.65 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Houston Astros | 36c | 878.85$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.39 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 36c | 834$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 19c | 784.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Houston Astros | 35c | 776.2$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 772.28$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.02 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Houston Astros | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 35c | 605$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 573.44$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 558$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.45 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Houston Astros | 2c | 527.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 512.35$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 35c | 504.59$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 472.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Houston Astros | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 454.73$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Houston Astros | 22c | 431$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Houston Astros | 27c | 418$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 399.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Houston Astros | 28c | 393.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Houston Astros | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 375$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Houston Astros | 35c | 374.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 35c | 368.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros | 36c | 365.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Houston Astros | 21c | 322.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 308.17$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Houston Astros | 13c | 303.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 302.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Houston Astros | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 35c | 300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Houston Astros | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 299.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 292.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 292.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 289.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Houston Astros | 35c | 285.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 284.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Houston Astros | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 275.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Houston Astros | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 14.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.