MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f126b9ba7184573c6e7a57e018c95e3d0cd3def5e46c5c5aa780a45862ef483
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Los Angeles Dodgers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 8,577$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Houston Astros | 45c | 8,168$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.57 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,925$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.51 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 1,876$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.07 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 879.97$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 839.29$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 44c | 407.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.44 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Houston Astros | 47c | 312.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 175.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 173.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 168.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 139.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 108.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 62c | 96.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 96.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Houston Astros | 78c | 85.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 72.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 62.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 54.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 50.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Houston Astros | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Houston Astros | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 43.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Houston Astros | 75c | 41.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…65b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…dd71backed Houston Astros | 46c | 27.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Houston Astros | 53c | 23.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…4661backed Houston Astros | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 78cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.