TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Houston Astros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c15,700$8,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,816.57647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros48c8,670$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,164.0611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c4,570$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.192,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros47c3,885$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.992,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Houston Astros45c3,720$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.8911256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros43c2,988$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.911,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros44c1,504$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.295,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros43c1,127$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.626,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8634756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c778$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.881,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c633.85$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5736440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros45c626.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.651,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros45c582.69$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.931,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros31c526.83$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.058,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc388…7af1backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c520$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Houston Astros52c499.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.411,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Houston Astros46c435$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.17644.7%34 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c383.66$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6626940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c336.67$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.642860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c315.9$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1659150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros59c236.39$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Houston Astros45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Houston Astros49c204.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9199744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9886653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.431,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1956946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Houston Astros48c179.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.281,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros44c168.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.054,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c166$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0213452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Houston Astros46c149.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2427248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros47c137.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c116.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.538,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0948150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.267450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Houston Astros32c100.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.233,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4478454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Houston Astros47c78.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720551.7%106 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Houston Astros44c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.582,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros36c76.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.918,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0762554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc93…b91dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.433174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.8wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6313727.7%38 W · 99 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Houston Astros36c62.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2884122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5548651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2821554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.982544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Houston Astros44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0921353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros51c46.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.636,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Houston Astros44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4526351.3%135 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Houston Astros44c43.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c8…3ba8backed Houston Astros45c33.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6113641.9%57 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Houston Astros44c31.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0425249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c31.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.775,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Houston Astros49c30.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513353.4%71 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…db17backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c30.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.331931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.814146.1%65 W · 76 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2727452.6%144 W · 130 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers63c27.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5540148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c25.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.845633.9%19 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.56150.8%31 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2544745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c24.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6827354.6%149 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c23.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.636,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c23.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3510449%51 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2472648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c20.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6515349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Los Angeles Dodgers75c20.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1318651.1%95 W · 91 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Los Angeles Dodgers75c20.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1322154.3%120 W · 101 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.223750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3056…2b09backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.66357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c18.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.614353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers75c17.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.321,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.