South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96cfcd71ed45e08b312ba37155767a1409aa65d9265dd47e691650b966761513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 66c | 742.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.52 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 67c | 425.97$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 312.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 253.37$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 31c | 195.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 33c | 165.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 76.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Over | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 67c | 28.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 26.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 66c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 16.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 67c | 16.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5this page
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.