South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5735da3e7d2a090ad05c030f77efb55ebc2288982ec45be75358f0e57d648821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 6,109$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.61 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 39c | 3,065$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.16 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 59c | 2,874$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.23 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 2,119$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.11 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…570cbacked Over | 50c | 1,477$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 61c | 838.41$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.48 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 789.18$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 748.81$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 739.04$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.52 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 60c | 458.33$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 49c | 438.81$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.79 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 40c | 408.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.18 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 54c | 299$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 46c | 219.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 59c | 195.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 181.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 119.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 22c | 56.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 23c | 55.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 58c | 45.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 59c | 39.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…0946backed Over | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…a19bbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 39c | 28.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 53c | 26.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 51c | 23.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 79c | 21.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.