Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b4e7e9bbe0da233091783d8c72d1eeb89f4ab313c73abfb2b8cbf610eaa7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 8,400$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 69c | 4,123$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.44 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 54c | 2,800$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.99 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 5c | 1,051$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 999.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 65c | 799.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 667.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.35 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 524.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 29c | 516.63$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 461.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.53 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 383.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 64c | 345.02$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 31c | 154.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 32c | 147.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 71c | 140$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Over | 76c | 97.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Under | 27c | 93.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Over | 57c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 62c | 74.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 72c | 69.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 45c | 57.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 73c | 45.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 66c | 45.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Under | 27c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 36.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 62c | 34.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 33.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 39c | 31.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 29.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 59c | 23.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 76c | 20.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…5802backed Over | 76c | 19.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 62c | 17.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Over | 75c | 13.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 75cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.