Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Molde FKof FK Bodø/Glimt, Molde FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 51c | 1,745$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.88 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Molde FK | 49c | 1,713$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.71 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Molde FK | 48c | 495.55$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 51c | 393.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 16c | 262.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 8c | 234.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Molde FK | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 162.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 145.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Molde FK | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…3f30backed Molde FK | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Molde FK | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Molde FK | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 16c | 68.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 18c | 66.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 51c | 61.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Molde FK | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Molde FK | 48c | 51.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Molde FK | 48c | 50.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 41.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 41.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Molde FK | 48c | 32.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Molde FK | 47c | 32.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 52c | 31.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Molde FK | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Molde FK | 51c | 26.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.