Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b3e4c6dce14f890305a593c31809762755b5292262ddf241ef302afafd0fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 38,326$17,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,398.73 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 53c | 29,872$15,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,832.09 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Over | 54c | 5,100$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 54c | 3,519$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 64c | 3,289$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.97 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,597$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 41c | 501.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.81 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 67c | 369.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 47c | 304.21$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 299.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 33c | 272.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 49c | 246.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 244.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 198.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 55c | 192.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 48c | 171.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 162.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 49c | 150.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 36c | 139.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 48c | 117.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 48c | 113.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Under | 51c | 96.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 72.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 49.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…1d20backed Under | 47c | 47.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…fd2fbacked Under | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 39.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 51c | 38.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 37.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 37.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 33.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…bcfdbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 24.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed Under | 51c | 21.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.