South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5451274c64477bcff83d70ee4344ff92dc476aa0d1b1ee30f39bdade2aa1df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9375…b655backed No | 53c | 990$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 633$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 49c | 613.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 358.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 46c | 320.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 17c | 298.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked No | 53c | 282.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 259.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 255.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…0fa7backed Yes | 46c | 234.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 48c | 208.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Yes | 48c | 204.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 47c | 158.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 49c | 140.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…1959backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 91.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2fe5backed Yes | 50c | 66.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 62.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 48c | 52.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 52c | 47.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 52c | 47.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 42.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 49c | 35.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 31.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.