South American Leagues · resolved market
Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6a59fe43226e6ee5d2bb211b34d61d691a131753abe8f42bb4f5aa545844c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 7c | 900.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.83 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 393.3$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 363$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 32c | 312.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 35c | 297.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 242.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 17c | 230.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 43c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 198.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 128.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 58c | 124.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 121.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 69c | 94.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 68.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 25c | 63.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 39c | 59.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 79c | 50.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 47c | 46.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 53c | 41.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 58c | 33.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 41c | 30.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 44c | 24.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 70c | 23.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…e96abacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 71c | 14.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5this page
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.