South American Leagues · resolved market
Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10562fab368bc171b34d319cd3898423edccd7d824ccff449ea2dbfc5bfcf5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Under | 0c | 2,862$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 46c | 999.95$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 46c | 816.74$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 578.8$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.33 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 69c | 568.18$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 441.67$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 38c | 255.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 246.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 231$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 54c | 205.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 54c | 191.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 177.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 57c | 175.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 126.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 48c | 124.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 121.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 112.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 106.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 47c | 103.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Under | 53c | 73.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 66.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 56c | 59.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 19c | 58.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 22c | 51.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 54c | 44.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 53c | 38.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 47c | 32.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 30.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 69c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5this page
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.