South American Leagues · resolved market
LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf1fddc2b1ca4b456c7a7031b01ab81ce47a3f89e5b6f4530cfc741c3ec7f3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 48c | 3,982$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,831$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,148$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 665.04$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 53c | 625.04$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.23 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 2c | 611$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 195.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c0…4c07backed Under | 54c | 192.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 78.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 34c | 73.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 66c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 19c | 65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 48c | 50.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Under | 59c | 48.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 53c | 39.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 46c | 32.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 38c | 31.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 4.5this page
- LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 0.5Over won
- LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 1.5Over won
- LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5Over won
- LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5Over won
- LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)Club Always Ready won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-2.5)Club Always Ready won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.