South American Leagues · resolved market

SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2572439f5edd1785cff8c4cfae0f006fae203efb8c00cb2478e1e276e261da84

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $120,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $124,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,922 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	9c	81,293$7,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,312.96	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	8c	2,224$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.93	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	1,881$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.35	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over	49c	1,741$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.23	79	22.8%18 W · 61 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under	35c	1,319$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.28	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	-4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under	73c	1,135$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.04	110	25.5%28 W · 82 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	61c	940.16$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.5	141	61%86 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	55c	811.69$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.27	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e6…8e0fbacked Over	50c	702.44$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	55c	667.82$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.71	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over	65c	549.96$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.06	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61dd…bb24backed Over	7c	442.38$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under	72c	417.97$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.8	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	77c	389.61$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under	39c	325.24$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.39	174	40.2%70 W · 104 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over	68c	321.09$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.7	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Over	78c	320.51$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ad…365abacked Over	49c	310.67$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.23	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Over	64c	299.75$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.72	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	68c	295.84$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.93	206	65%134 W · 72 L	+24.5wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under	52c	258.98$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.31	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f8…0fd7backed Over	80c	250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	79cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	8c	245$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	449	39.2%176 W · 273 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under	41c	244.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.15	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Over	64c	234.37$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	106	49.1%52 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b1…60efbacked Under	20c	225$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over	73c	220$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.6	36	72.2%26 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	77cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under	41c	217.94$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.18	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under	59c	205.46$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.02	123	40.7%50 W · 73 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Under	37c	202$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.26	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under	50c	197.88$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.63	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over	66c	183.7$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.48	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under	64c	180.32$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.66	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	61c	163.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	246	65.9%162 W · 84 L	+26.2wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	7c	161$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	452	53.1%240 W · 212 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over	50c	158.32$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.97	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-25%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	77c	149.99$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.9	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over	47c	135.19$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.54	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Under	36c	135.13$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.64	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	52c	130$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.82	1,302	50.2%653 W · 649 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Under	40c	125$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	54c	124$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.91	992	59.1%586 W · 406 L	+108.7wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9a94…b335backed Over	56c	119.98$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.29	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe67e…5d86backed Under	31c	117.74$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under	27c	114.47$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.71	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over	36c	112.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.46	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over	51c	111.69$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.61	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over	49c	103.76$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.84	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over	49c	102.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over	49c	101.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under	42c	100.22$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.42	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e1…982dbacked Over	78c	100$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Over	50c	98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Over	61c	87.14$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked Over	60c	86.83$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.3	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	37c	67.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over	78c	64.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Under	28c	55.31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.87	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under	23c	50.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.67	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	118	64.4%76 W · 42 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under	51c	49.01$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed Over	63c	47.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	31c	46.96$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.45	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f10…4da6backed Over	77c	44.53$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	62c	43.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.86	258	66.3%171 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	64c	43.21$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	308	58.4%180 W · 128 L	+11.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over	45c	42.28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8b…b8cbbacked Under	62c	40.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.06	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over	56c	39.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.18	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+10.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+28%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3cb…1499backed Over	56c	35.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over	78c	34.08$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.45	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a3…9ac2backed Over	50c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x564b…1e19backed Over	61c	32.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabc9…eb4cbacked Under	38c	28.71$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+164.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over	74c	27.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0179…adcdbacked Under	75c	26.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.73	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	71cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Under	47c	25.81$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.66	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd344…e41bbacked Over	75c	24.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over	64c	23.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	56c	21.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	51c	20.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2b…451dbacked Under	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf509…7acdbacked Over	72c	13.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5this page
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 0.5Over won
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5Over won
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5Over won
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5Over won
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event