South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb510f36556b2571478852dd84dd7dbb25c1779c5ca9940bf3396792ac24c15a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 1,110$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 762.84$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.28 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 45c | 633.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.71 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 58c | 600.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 42c | 587.17$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 396.28$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed No | 63c | 199.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed No | 58c | 173.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 55c | 152.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 44c | 140.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 138.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 58c | 135.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 135.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 130.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed No | 61c | 101.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 56c | 100.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 39c | 82.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 40c | 70.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8b…73f8backed Yes | 43c | 66.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 39.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 59c | 32.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 40c | 27.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…adcdbacked No | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.