South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d8cd3df741e68f44297708053421fd3744c03fcfaf13836178fa6f395cd6509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SE Palmeirasof SE Palmeiras, CDP Junior FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked SE Palmeiras | 57c | 5,426$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.16 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed CDP Junior FC | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed SE Palmeiras | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.98 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked CDP Junior FC | 44c | 2,386$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CDP Junior FC | 42c | 2,302$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.81 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed CDP Junior FC | 43c | 2,260$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.96 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed CDP Junior FC | 43c | 2,260$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.96 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SE Palmeiras | 73c | 2,023$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed SE Palmeiras | 60c | 1,543$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed SE Palmeiras | 58c | 1,063$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.65 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed SE Palmeiras | 59c | 903.02$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked SE Palmeiras | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 835.6$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CDP Junior FC | 41c | 805.25$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.72 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed CDP Junior FC | 35c | 619.93$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed CDP Junior FC | 35c | 578$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CDP Junior FC | 41c | 485.61$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CDP Junior FC | 42c | 449.34$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked SE Palmeiras | 54c | 424.92$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked SE Palmeiras | 56c | 406.89$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed SE Palmeiras | 58c | 391.66$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed CDP Junior FC | 44c | 338$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CDP Junior FC | 43c | 335.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CDP Junior FC | 40c | 312$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 214.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked SE Palmeiras | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CDP Junior FC | 41c | 152.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CDP Junior FC | 41c | 139.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CDP Junior FC | 40c | 132.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed CDP Junior FC | 45c | 105.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CDP Junior FC | 43c | 100.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed CDP Junior FC | 43c | 93.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed CDP Junior FC | 42c | 93.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked SE Palmeiras | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked SE Palmeiras | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CDP Junior FC | 44c | 81.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed SE Palmeiras | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed SE Palmeiras | 68c | 74.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed SE Palmeiras | 59c | 60.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked CDP Junior FC | 43c | 59.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed SE Palmeiras | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked SE Palmeiras | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…1c23backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…9bc2backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed SE Palmeiras | 60c | 50.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed SE Palmeiras | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CDP Junior FC | 45c | 44.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CDP Junior FC | 23c | 44.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…f3e2backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked CDP Junior FC | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed SE Palmeiras | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 36.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…e0f3backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked CDP Junior FC | 44c | 34.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked CDP Junior FC | 43c | 32.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed CDP Junior FC | 47c | 28.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked SE Palmeiras | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…b3f3backed SE Palmeiras | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked SE Palmeiras | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked SE Palmeiras | 57c | 23.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed CDP Junior FC | 44c | 23.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed SE Palmeiras | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.