South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8806e0575b6a4ec66c3a4667c83ff012a88ab20301ccc4cc119738c3474cf9d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SE Palmeirasof SE Palmeiras, CDP Junior FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SE Palmeiras | 31c | 1,069$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.62 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked CDP Junior FC | 69c | 999.99$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e6…8e0fbacked CDP Junior FC | 45c | 751.78$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SE Palmeiras | 67c | 501.95$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SE Palmeiras | 54c | 448.8$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.63 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked CDP Junior FC | 15c | 299.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CDP Junior FC | 69c | 224.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CDP Junior FC | 70c | 167.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked CDP Junior FC | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed SE Palmeiras | 30c | 111.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e47ebacked SE Palmeiras | 31c | 103$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed SE Palmeiras | 58c | 100.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed CDP Junior FC | 60c | 89.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SE Palmeiras | 33c | 88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SE Palmeiras | 32c | 87.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed CDP Junior FC | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SE Palmeiras | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked SE Palmeiras | 31c | 58.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed CDP Junior FC | 68c | 56.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed SE Palmeiras | 37c | 54.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed SE Palmeiras | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked SE Palmeiras | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked CDP Junior FC | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.