TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under42c54,598$22,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,845.4118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over58c12,005$6,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,041.7365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over58c11,226$6,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.928643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c6,423$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.745,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c5,648$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.485147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over58c5,171$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.0733560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c3,180$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.683,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under1c3,003$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0310446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c2,606$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.06927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over58c2,461$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.012,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c2,444$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4414530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under1c2,282$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8270%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over58c2,085$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.6415247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc045…92f1backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over58c1,717$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.931,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under1c1,010$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6910618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9462…4dbdbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over58c962.81$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Over71c863.21$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under3c842.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over59c824$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.843,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over58c817.47$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7810450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under36c766.32$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.031118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-63.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over58c729.31$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.318447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c617.08$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c605.76$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.341,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over59c601.03$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.811,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under41c599.97$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over58c598.28$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+99.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under43c580$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over58c509.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under40c462.21$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6421837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over58c462$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.041,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under43c432.59$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0211551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over59c429.39$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.31,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c423.7$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.281,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Over58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over58c283.25$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.592,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over57c274$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.822369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under6c269.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.225954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over58c249.45$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9212945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over61c228.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.61,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8424257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Over58c187.82$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.83138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over59c183.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3323549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over58c179.29$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.257761%47 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over58c171.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.96159%36 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over58c170.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.471442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.672,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under31c155$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0511059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over58c149.37$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3626965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over58c133.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7426160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Under42c116.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.82825%7 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e602backed Over58c103.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.231258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over58c101.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.652572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Over58c91.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.381540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218528.2%24 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc754…b388backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2144959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over58c77.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.568955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Over65c77.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.072161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c75.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.788,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over80c71.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2529245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over58c64.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under45c63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3519630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over62c60.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0531355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over59c50.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.827855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a94…b335backed Over56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over60c49.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.872350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over58c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3829653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c37.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.733658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0215768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over58c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0717255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over59c33.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8138861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over58c32.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6712948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over62c32.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2524665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6bce…4b01backed Over62c31.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.111233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…28b8backed Over58c30.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5a…39e0backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782969%20 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.28per pick41cpaid+95.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Over60c26.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6c8…08a2backed Over59c23.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick66cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x564b…1e19backed Over67c22.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.293259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over58c20.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.726451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1301…2f0abacked Over58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaec…7855backed Over58c20.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Over59c19.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over59c19.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9618557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed Over58c18.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.933259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.741,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.