TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under65c25,000$16,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,209.8118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over35c3,200$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over35c2,400$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under44c1,983$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.383167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over56c1,969$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.4231349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over35c1,820$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18322457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c1,547$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.165,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over35c1,508$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.781,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over35c1,400$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91016558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over35c1,389$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.593,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under64c1,288$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.2611059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65033745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under60c750.67$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over35c627.85$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+99.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over37c600$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.075100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61dd…bb24backed Over37c536.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.11933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over38c529.59$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8811551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over35c520$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over35c520$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Over35c430$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.53652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over36c420.38$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.422,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over36c416$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.241,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26015560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over48c383.82$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.992035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over75c376.18$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2911354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over35c320$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over35c312$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over35c312$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Over35c300.02$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.013850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20419630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over34c289.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.212458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over35c280$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under24c276.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.339652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13018959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.994025%10 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over35c160$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under31c152.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.064153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over37c119.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c113.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.112,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under65c112.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.212754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over35c101.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.412,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over53c101.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8933658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a94…b335backed Over34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c93.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.738,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under62c89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.248528.2%24 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over35c74.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.745855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over34c70.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over36c64.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.151,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over37c60.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8723549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over37c57.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.119826.5%26 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Over34c53.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.082871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over35c52.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2615041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over36c51.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.951,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3444939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79e1…982dbacked Under64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over46c46.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.256453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over74c46.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1919155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2619460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2612761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under64c36.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over35c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.417255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under64c35.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.525866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Over53c32.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.47454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over35c32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.817960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over66c30.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.471,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under64c30.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a3…9ac2backed Under55c25.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under61c19.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8342462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe67e…5d86backed Under59c18.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under67c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3910365%67 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5401…c03dbacked Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.