Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077ad3a59ca919155b601f8f058ec6586a6bcea38b649c711f5cd788f5ad9292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 3,133$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 78c | 3,061$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.31 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 33c | 899.94$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 392.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 6c | 189.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 33c | 187.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 176.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 68c | 146.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 34c | 142.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 130.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 49c | 107.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7bc9backed Over | 67c | 90.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…1a9ebacked Under | 34c | 88.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 80.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 66c | 79.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Under | 33c | 79.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 69c | 70.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 32c | 52.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 67c | 49.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 66c | 49.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 67c | 43.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 67c | 38.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 66c | 34.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 68c | 32.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 67c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 27.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 74c | 23.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 60c | 23.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…ad29backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 22.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Over | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.