Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a34a74cfd5f74d205a93a853ec30473f1ba00107e4c9f21435690745e762a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 3,507$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 26c | 2,143$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.18 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 1,486$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 55c | 1,271$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 1,249$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 1,213$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.89 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 37c | 1,045$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.63 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 46c | 651.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 599.08$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.55 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 485$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 73c | 413.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 392.19$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.88 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 37c | 318.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 275.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 176.42$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 38c | 155.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 67c | 149.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 36c | 107.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 59c | 97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 95.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 74c | 87.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 85.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Over | 48c | 80.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 27c | 77.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 48c | 73.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f3…51f6backed Under | 27c | 50.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 74c | 47.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under | 46c | 42.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 34.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 59c | 32.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 75c | 31.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…7acdbacked Over | 65c | 29.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 25.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 66c | 17.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.