South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3c8b2e906647b055b68a3adfe44a2dd4b2e2871c1554f3a93f30994a97b4201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 5,157$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 3,003$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 1,528$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.46 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 1,227$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.47 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 927.75$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 45c | 619.8$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.95 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 616$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 52c | 574.48$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.73 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 454.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 34c | 414.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 64c | 299$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 30c | 296.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 50c | 200.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 36c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 69c | 128.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 31c | 128$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Over | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 40c | 86.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 20c | 76.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 55c | 65.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 60c | 64.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 60.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…d4e2backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 47c | 34.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 39c | 32.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 47c | 25.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 70c | 24.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 69c | 21.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…2451backed Over | 49c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 69c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Over | 75c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 58c | 18.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Over | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-2.5)Barcelona SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.