South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7e49b06f0f78d8f096051977e03e1cf5436f3534367592b333a3bc433aa699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 45c | 2,827$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.23 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 46c | 216$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 46c | 158.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 51c | 127.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 49c | 126.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6c32backed Yes | 46c | 117.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Yes | 46c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 46c | 97.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-2.5)Barcelona SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.