South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469d60023d262dadfd5644edea604b9b1005c7794f8261a140c3967777519724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 6,393$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.52 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 4,995$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.6 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 1,671$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.4 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 1,611$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.88 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 79c | 1,448$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.06 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 21c | 948.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 41c | 740$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Under | 57c | 685$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 58c | 381.78$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 56c | 349.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 21c | 307.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 42c | 299$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 229.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 44c | 227.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 192$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 183.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 102.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 99.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 56c | 79.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 61c | 40.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 65c | 35.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 62c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Under | 57c | 22.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-2.5)Barcelona SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.