Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x624a5fe302eff5be8c6c596362918d4a33d259ffaf236c577c0d1dd03b852062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,325$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 29c | 1,003$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.99 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 62c | 944.68$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.7 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Over | 71c | 880.98$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 710.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 577.64$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Under | 30c | 560$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 61c | 550$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…b9c5backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 37c | 447.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.12 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 78c | 430.29$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.23 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 62c | 412.9$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 361.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 65c | 323.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 307.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 45c | 293.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 62c | 278.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 265.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.92 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 43c | 147.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 70cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 62c | 100.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 72c | 97.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 66c | 97.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 61c | 87.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…d9fdbacked Over | 49c | 86.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 80c | 82.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Over | 56c | 80.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 32c | 76.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…7863backed Over | 62c | 76.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 50c | 74.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 33c | 74.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 53c | 66.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 56c | 65.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eca1backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 64.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 50c | 62.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 69c | 54.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Over | 53c | 53.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 52.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…e3d2backed Over | 71c | 40.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 38.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…be4dbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…4064backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 70c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -6.6wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 54c | 22.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…61a3backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 20.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.