Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb83b93ebe9181e5a9dca2e82a340770916e4e2eb00a48bfe0043762b31c06e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarpsborg 08 FFof Viking FK, Sarpsborg 08 FF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 60c | 5,481$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.15 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 61c | 2,866$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.76 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Viking FK | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Viking FK | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Viking FK | 38c | 2,279$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.03 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Viking FK | 40c | 1,470$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Viking FK | 1c | 1,383$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 62c | 861.05$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 70c | 860.54$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 62c | 547.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Viking FK | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Viking FK | 38c | 297.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Viking FK | 39c | 283.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Viking FK | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Viking FK | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 64c | 235.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 63c | 230.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Viking FK | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…ab3cbacked Viking FK | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 66c | 97.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Viking FK | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Viking FK | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Viking FK | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Viking FK | 39c | 59.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 65c | 57.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Viking FK | 34c | 48.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Viking FK | 37c | 44.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Viking FK | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 61c | 39.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 65c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…75cebacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.