Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77565a9d2b0618ac0d6d4e15bba39060ff3dd5e14c4e3c550968b41e44a1c1ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,429$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,315$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 1,186$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.19 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 58c | 1,040$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.99 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 34c | 922.09$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.98 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 728$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.48 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 64c | 543.46$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.91 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed No | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…fb43backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 225.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 190.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 162.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Yes | 65c | 151.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 60c | 108.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 33c | 103.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 66c | 98.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…37dfbacked Yes | 66c | 75.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 66c | 64.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…6a2ebacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 36c | 50.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…946fbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…5d47backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…db10backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Yes | 62c | 21.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 62c | 21.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…a2fcbacked Yes | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 79c | 12.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.