Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e52e38dbac6a5dcf6124df0ddde77906b3a23289b546cabce32f169b420c851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 17c | 5,812$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.51 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 2,893$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 9c | 2,182$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.95 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 16c | 1,468$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 76c | 883.07$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.87 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 47c | 425.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 12c | 414$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.82 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 75c | 362.7$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 40c | 352.72$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 325.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 39c | 299.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 77c | 190.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 49c | 122.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…1359backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 31c | 113.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 100.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Under | 16c | 89.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 60c | 89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 16c | 82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 75.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 24c | 60.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…4789backed Over | 34c | 59.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 65c | 56.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 56c | 51.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 33c | 44.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 47c | 40.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 32c | 39.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Over | 62c | 39.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 51c | 31.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…fb78backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.