TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,308 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over69c1,409$972 inWon+$436.827635.5%27 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under31c664.13$206 inLost-$205.8840958.9%241 W · 168 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c632.79$194 inLost-$194.257,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over75c379.62$285 inWon+$94.93669.4%25 W · 11 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c244.46$168 inWon+$76.095,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under25c204$51 inLost-$513256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under25c181.71$45 inLost-$451442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under27c142.85$39 inLost-$38.72,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under19c126.08$25 inLost-$24.522,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over66c50$33 inWon+$1747842.9%205 W · 273 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under31c42.87$13 inLost-$13.2955954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.9622062.3%137 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under31c36.13$11 inLost-$11.23762.2%23 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+59.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under31c34.26$11 inLost-$10.621060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206e…379ebacked Over68c30$20 inWon+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…c118backed Over80c25$20 inWon+$51154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over70c15.57$11 inWon+$4.672766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.