TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,393 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c1,263$453 inLost-$452.677,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c425.91$208 inWon+$218.232,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under64c396$253 inWon+$142.621,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under64c395.97$253 inWon+$142.611,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under64c395.63$253 inWon+$142.541,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under64c338.34$218 inWon+$120.2212348%59 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over61c162.61$100 inLost-$10021767.7%147 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over46c113.3$52 inLost-$52.123363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbe…8807backed Over45c100$45 inLost-$45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over50c99.06$50 inLost-$49.531330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over37c87.41$32 inLost-$31.954827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over52c75$39 inLost-$3911841.5%49 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c61.97$22 inLost-$22.31,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over44c39.96$18 inLost-$17.582450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under52c38.26$20 inWon+$18.513743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c19.44$10 inLost-$10.1987745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.