Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2232e8a7c70aab00f780111c2d4c61084a043228c898d912a8fb39442b9b9aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 67c | 2,000$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.35 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 748.18$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 699.93$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 698.34$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 33c | 599.92$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 582.32$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.79 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 416.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 301.12$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 53c | 292.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Under | 73c | 161$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 73.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 22c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 52c | 69.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 66c | 45.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 65c | 33.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 29.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.