Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a8a9e76daa6cbc5e3de341a468e271c12601ea6991b5ce2c54b1ea023edd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 50c | 5,367$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 3,995$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.53 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 49c | 2,133$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 2,029$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,813$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.8 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 1,727$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.23 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,358$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 40c | 1,100$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 60c | 1,028$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 46c | 799.97$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 51c | 738$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 45c | 622.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 16c | 607.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…fb43backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 65c | 565.43$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 537.7$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.35 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 50c | 524$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 499.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…17ddbacked Over | 34c | 485.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 50c | 477.4$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.62 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Under | 51c | 428$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 50c | 420.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.07 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 333.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 50c | 282.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 50c | 268.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Under | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 52c | 239.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 50c | 218.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 7c | 202.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 160.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 35c | 139.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 45c | 101.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…4a4abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…a593backed Under | 46c | 84.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 53c | 75.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 50c | 61.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 51c | 52.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 22c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 60c | 49.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 53c | 47.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 43c | 40.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 51c | 39.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Under | 52c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 53c | 32.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 54c | 25.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d8…9f99backed Under | 60c | 23.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…3359backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 73c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.