TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,748 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed No80c1,522$1,213 inLost-$1,212.512,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No28c900.18$256 inLost-$256.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes75c663.02$500 inWon+$163.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No30c462.05$138 inLost-$137.726722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon+$334.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes20c400$80 inWon+$320650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes13c369$48 inWon+$321.032,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Yes76c355.09$271 inWon+$84.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes17c290$49 inWon+$240.71050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes28c207.41$59 inWon+$148.55616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-41.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes62c160$99 inWon+$60.83046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Yes13c148.35$20 inWon+$128.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick42cpaid+143.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5cd9backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon+$66.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+164.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Yes53c42.24$23 inWon+$19.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc780…6306backed Yes43c39.17$17 inWon+$22.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.