TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basile

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pierluigi Basileof Elmer Moeller, Pierluigi Basile
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Elmer Moeller74c55,289$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pierluigi Basile28c29,528$8,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,328.494,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Elmer Moeller57c11,576$6,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,598.2624841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pierluigi Basile29c7,497$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,293.9311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Pierluigi Basile27c6,051$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,428.438446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Elmer Moeller74c5,439$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003966.7%26 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pierluigi Basile54c5,378$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.24,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Pierluigi Basile27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.9978840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Pierluigi Basile51c3,822$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.8842131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Pierluigi Basile71c3,257$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.984,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Elmer Moeller64c3,173$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02037044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pierluigi Basile71c3,170$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.826,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pierluigi Basile49c3,164$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.038,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Pierluigi Basile72c3,065$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.462,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Elmer Moeller51c2,821$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44038557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Pierluigi Basile28c2,683$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.85,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Pierluigi Basile27c2,474$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.81,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Elmer Moeller60c2,335$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40062956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Pierluigi Basile28c1,667$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.422,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Pierluigi Basile27c1,481$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.481,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Pierluigi Basile26c1,476$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.9856827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Pierluigi Basile52c1,027$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.585,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Elmer Moeller71c761.72$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.374,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed Pierluigi Basile58c747.32$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.327350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pierluigi Basile27c675$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.287,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecf…9e86backed Elmer Moeller40c654.7$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Pierluigi Basile27c600$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Pierluigi Basile29c599.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Pierluigi Basile56c599.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9947956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pierluigi Basile26c516.75$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.283,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pierluigi Basile41c500$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.719,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Elmer Moeller62c489.55$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.7213137.4%49 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c4…9b44backed Pierluigi Basile58c482$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.637463.5%47 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Pierluigi Basile69c457.52$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.779832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Elmer Moeller43c410.28$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.317646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b7…76b7backed Elmer Moeller58c374.72$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pierluigi Basile50c368.27$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.632,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Pierluigi Basile56c359$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.841,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Elmer Moeller64c339$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5146453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Pierluigi Basile73c307.26$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.992,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Pierluigi Basile49c301.64$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.841,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87b…5294backed Elmer Moeller72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Elmer Moeller53c298.22$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Pierluigi Basile62c271.18$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1817857.3%102 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Elmer Moeller63c270.16$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Elmer Moeller38c263.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.671,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Elmer Moeller43c260.01$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Pierluigi Basile51c242.29$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Pierluigi Basile28c240$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.81,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Elmer Moeller43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Pierluigi Basile43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5679646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Elmer Moeller44c227.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Elmer Moeller46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Pierluigi Basile74c209.35$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.182,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Elmer Moeller73c202.46$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5630642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Elmer Moeller50c200.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Pierluigi Basile27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4432…1a32backed Pierluigi Basile76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1615079.3%119 W · 31 L+17.1wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pierluigi Basile26c192$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.087,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Pierluigi Basile28c190$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbd…1288backed Elmer Moeller71c190$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Pierluigi Basile62c187.44$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4743062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Elmer Moeller57c180.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.891,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elmer Moeller33c175.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.238,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Elmer Moeller75c172.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0296945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Pierluigi Basile54c151.12$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.043,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Pierluigi Basile29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.586835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Pierluigi Basile28c149.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.246,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Pierluigi Basile26c147$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7855748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90d8…20f0backed Pierluigi Basile30c140$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+134.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Elmer Moeller15c126.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Elmer Moeller52c121$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.844,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Elmer Moeller45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Pierluigi Basile29c110$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.127949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Elmer Moeller52c108.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.541,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Elmer Moeller52c104.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9726158.2%152 W · 109 L+1.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Elmer Moeller47c103.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.062,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Pierluigi Basile63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3723536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Elmer Moeller46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Elmer Moeller44c99.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.641,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9f24…e803backed Elmer Moeller54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011255.4%62 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Pierluigi Basile27c90.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.941,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Pierluigi Basile48c89.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.583,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Elmer Moeller56c88.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.77374%54 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pierluigi Basile57c84.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.323,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pierluigi Basile36c84.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.51,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Pierluigi Basile31c83.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8710252.9%54 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Elmer Moeller49c81.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405149%25 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Pierluigi Basile66c80.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2747274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Elmer Moeller46c79.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4810943.1%47 W · 62 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfbf…39e1backed Elmer Moeller44c77.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Pierluigi Basile30c73.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3329237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Pierluigi Basile24c72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.645,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Pierluigi Basile48c70.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.551,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Pierluigi Basile39c69.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2348552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Pierluigi Basile48c68.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.751,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Pierluigi Basile45c66.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9649943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Pierluigi Basile47c65.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.646,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Elmer Moeller61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Elmer Moeller70c62.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.911,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.