MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a85ca8e7cbbaeec3012b79fc16c785a7fb148da94316848b0c77b840670cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof San Diego Padres, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,196,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,223,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,196,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 362,690$184,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,730.13 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 248,756$110,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,471.35 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 144,014$71,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,673.67 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 120,932$48,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,819.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 86,733$41,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,632.04 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 83,673$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,999.7 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,800 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 57,328$29,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,090.78 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 33,034$16,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,186.84 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 26,928$15,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,673.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 26,751$13,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,143.89 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 19,300$9,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,457 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 13,000$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.98 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 12,456$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.32 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 12,095$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 9,643$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.06 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 9,098$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Diego Padres | 8c | 8,937$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.9 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 8,790$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.04 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 8,393$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.5 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 8,300$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 8,266$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.18 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 7,975$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 7,863$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.32 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 6,239$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 5,613$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.47 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Diego Padres | 8c | 5,130$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,633$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 3,263$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,032$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.54 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,032$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.54 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.95 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,990$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.38 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 2,587$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.09 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,210$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 2,063$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 1,986$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,902$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.96 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 1,865$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 1,863$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,718$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,696$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,542$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.09 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,429$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.29 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,415$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.82 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,363$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.14 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 18c | 1,355$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 1,200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,122$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.48 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,073$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.69 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 999$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 980.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.67 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 953.47$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.2 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 952.76$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 936.61$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 888$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 771.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 763.49$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 760$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 750$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 665.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.37 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 613$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 610$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 571.65$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.11 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 547.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 546.68$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 528$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 523.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.6 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.