MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e299109cb997feef3da28fd118c190dd146375dc25559d2a4809e63cc90412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 46c | 6,339$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.17 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 31c | 4,419$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 54c | 4,200$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.99 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Under | 47c | 4,109$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 54c | 3,916$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.8 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Over | 54c | 3,823$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.59 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 3,255$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 67c | 2,298$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.84 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 46c | 2,056$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Over | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 1,755$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.59 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 1,536$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 31c | 1,498$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 47c | 1,479$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.04 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 1,414$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 49c | 1,400$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 1,362$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.09 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 48c | 1,304$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.26 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,139$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 1,098$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,048$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 935.96$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.18 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 901.01$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 48c | 869.57$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.18 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 35c | 857.64$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 850$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Under | 47c | 797.7$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.78 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 64c | 796.7$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 38c | 641.6$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 640$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 618.22$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 38c | 607.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 585$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 37c | 554$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.55 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 46c | 531.04$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.76 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 64c | 494.31$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 48c | 382$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 338.08$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 333.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 54c | 332$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 275.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 65c | 182.78$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 68c | 172.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 171$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 45c | 133.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 37c | 104.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 68c | 100.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 60c | 97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Over | 55c | 86.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 82.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 47c | 75.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 69.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 45c | 64.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 47c | 58.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 64c | 57.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…15adbacked Under | 47c | 56.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 43c | 54.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…9548backed Under | 64c | 53.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 48c | 51.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 47c | 45.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 71c | 44.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 72c | 42.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 33c | 42.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 54c | 40.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 54c | 40.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 68c | 37.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 47c | 36.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 35.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 39c | 35.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under | 47c | 32.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 49c | 31.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 68c | 30.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…0147backed Under | 57c | 29.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 38c | 28.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Under | 66c | 26.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 46c | 24.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 68c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 55c | 23.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…951ebacked Over | 53c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.