MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x696e5eb971e232507c1970bdcfa0f7af96bf4e1916702878bcfa00f806fb86ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 182,801$95,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,056.46 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 34,608$18,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,719.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 31,253$15,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,251.33 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 28,967$13,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,062.67 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 12c | 25,268$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.48 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 18,638$9,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,691.79 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 11,105$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.6 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 10,565$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 10,453$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.74 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 5,930$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,538$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 5,352$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.01 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 4,729$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 3,918$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,781$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,608$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.24 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 1,945$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.4 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 19c | 1,859$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,849$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.48 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 1,744$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.21 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,730$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.6 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,391$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.19 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 1,171$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 1,149$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 983.86$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.28 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 970.1$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 966.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 921.58$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.22 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 885.42$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.42 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 854.17$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.17 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 830$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 704.77$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 670$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 662.78$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 657.94$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 585$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 537.06$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 528.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 516.24$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…473ebacked Seattle Mariners | 7c | 501$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 452.04$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 386$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 357.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 348.56$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 315.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…6567backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 303.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Seattle Mariners | 19c | 289$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…8ecabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 278.13$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…29fabacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 276.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 261.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 261$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 252.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 250$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 234.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 229.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 223.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 222.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 214.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 209.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 184.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 184.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 181.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 178.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Seattle Mariners | 26c | 176.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.