TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Buffaloesof Oklahoma Sooners, Colorado Buffaloes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Oklahoma Sooners64c105,004$67,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,200.466245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Colorado Buffaloes36c50,005$18,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,003.24339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Colorado Buffaloes36c15,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colorado Buffaloes36c7,500$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Colorado Buffaloes36c7,212$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Colorado Buffaloes36c7,206$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,611.6889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Colorado Buffaloes37c6,186$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.9884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes36c5,598$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.7812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Buffaloes36c3,004$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.532,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Oklahoma Sooners0c2,737$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9470%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oklahoma Sooners5c2,079$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.682,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Oklahoma Sooners63c1,862$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Buffaloes42c1,808$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.563,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes38c1,505$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Oklahoma Sooners26c1,431$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.123855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Oklahoma Sooners20c1,126$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6414728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Oklahoma Sooners1c1,040$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Colorado Buffaloes48c872.04$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma Sooners41c782.16$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.284,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Oklahoma Sooners7c676.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.011,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Oklahoma Sooners60c515.34$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Colorado Buffaloes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Colorado Buffaloes40c499.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9837246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Colorado Buffaloes36c429.5$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.689545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Oklahoma Sooners5c419.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.742240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Buffaloes40c334.47$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.031,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Oklahoma Sooners63c332.4$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.862365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Colorado Buffaloes38c318.18$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.274946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2d…8622backed Oklahoma Sooners63c310.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.56540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Oklahoma Sooners58c309.17$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Colorado Buffaloes44c276.82$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.747447.3%35 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+53.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Oklahoma Sooners41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.465048%24 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma Sooners41c195.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.244,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Colorado Buffaloes36c181.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.886459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6941…d614backed Oklahoma Sooners58c167.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Colorado Buffaloes37c158.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.243655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Oklahoma Sooners63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.782365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Colorado Buffaloes38c155.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.113860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Colorado Buffaloes37c154.27$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2811456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Oklahoma Sooners64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.84862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Colorado Buffaloes37c131.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1533058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Oklahoma Sooners62c125.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Colorado Buffaloes56c102.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.242055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Colorado Buffaloes41c101.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.433650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Colorado Buffaloes39c97.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Colorado Buffaloes38c93.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.793943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa506…5030backed Oklahoma Sooners63c93.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Colorado Buffaloes37c81.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1216650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Colorado Buffaloes37c79.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.316654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Colorado Buffaloes44c78.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1553635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Oklahoma Sooners64c78.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.84966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Oklahoma Sooners63c75.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.712263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Colorado Buffaloes39c69.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.83959%23 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Colorado Buffaloes36c68.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7421342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Oklahoma Sooners40c67.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.993138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Colorado Buffaloes36c63.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.461353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Colorado Buffaloes36c63.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.467749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Oklahoma Sooners36c60.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.061,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Oklahoma Sooners62c59.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.184456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Buffaloes44c59.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.551,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado Buffaloes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.634,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Colorado Buffaloes36c48.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.772875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf028…b478backed Oklahoma Sooners53c45.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf295…b287backed Oklahoma Sooners65c42.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Colorado Buffaloes37c39.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.142540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Colorado Buffaloes73c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+146.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f8…e0f3backed Oklahoma Sooners63c38.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Colorado Buffaloes38c38.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.885354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3063…65b3backed Oklahoma Sooners60c34.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Oklahoma Sooners41c31.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1619147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Colorado Buffaloes36c28.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.245855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Colorado Buffaloes60c26.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Oklahoma Sooners58c26.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.261250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb659…48e5backed Colorado Buffaloes44c25.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Oklahoma Sooners51c22.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.652744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd76…3269backed Colorado Buffaloes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Oklahoma Sooners60c19.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Oklahoma Sooners58c19.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472450%12 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Oklahoma Sooners61c17.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Colorado Buffaloes66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.371560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.