Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2dd26b889b7f6865537884035f887050b9c224f515074e6b5b30c2a41a075e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Oklahoma Sooners, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Oklahoma Sooners | 55c | 4,800$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 3,771$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 679$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.45 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes | 66c | 547.6$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Oklahoma Sooners | 21c | 168.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 151.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 35c | 149.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 119.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 77.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Oklahoma Sooners | 37c | 74.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 36c | 74.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 61.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Oklahoma Sooners | 41c | 52.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 52.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 44.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 37.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 36.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Oklahoma Sooners | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Buffaloes | 63c | 24.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oklahoma Sooners | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5)this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado BuffaloesOklahoma Sooners won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 162.5Over won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 164.5Over won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-6.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-9.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.