Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99bddd86ecfc5f158148723a286cd266ff69bb985da8113beda93b3f2f68d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 5,730$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.84 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 3,311$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,236$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,203$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 983.37$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.18 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 51c | 732.71$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Over | 50c | 573.95$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 45c | 430.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.71 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 55c | 269.52$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 265.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 242.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 242.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 242.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 60c | 234.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 53c | 207.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 200.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 48c | 199.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 47c | 166.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 48c | 150.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Under | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 135.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 48c | 119.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…b990backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Under | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 50c | 66.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Over | 47c | 51.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 45.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 32.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…58a3backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 53c | 24.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…af1dbacked Under | 55c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 18.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 165.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado BuffaloesOklahoma Sooners won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 162.5Over won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-6.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-9.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.