UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb48c4b9de09325081ac79dd7ba7490aa405e1de73bb252546502ac80c02ae52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bia Mesquitaof Melissa Mullins, Bia Mesquita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 15,061$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.92 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Melissa Mullins | 15c | 9,754$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.59 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Melissa Mullins | 15c | 9,136$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.85 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Melissa Mullins | 18c | 6,636$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.57 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Melissa Mullins | 16c | 4,164$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.81 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Melissa Mullins | 12c | 3,951$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.58 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 3,680$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.4 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bia Mesquita | 61c | 3,295$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.9 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Melissa Mullins | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Melissa Mullins | 13c | 2,785$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Melissa Mullins | 15c | 2,597$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Melissa Mullins | 14c | 2,297$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Melissa Mullins | 30c | 1,685$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.47 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Melissa Mullins | 16c | 1,324$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Melissa Mullins | 40c | 1,163$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Melissa Mullins | 12c | 1,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 1,150$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bia Mesquita | 62c | 1,101$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.68 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bia Mesquita | 70c | 1,040$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.72 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Bia Mesquita | 73c | 1,028$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Melissa Mullins | 38c | 1,000$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.87 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Melissa Mullins | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Melissa Mullins | 15c | 897.82$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Melissa Mullins | 24c | 890.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Melissa Mullins | 15c | 840$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Melissa Mullins | 11c | 829.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Melissa Mullins | 33c | 825.73$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.49 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Melissa Mullins | 15c | 798.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Melissa Mullins | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Melissa Mullins | 14c | 703.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bia Mesquita | 66c | 675.86$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Bia Mesquita | 80c | 645.91$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Melissa Mullins | 15c | 633.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Melissa Mullins | 21c | 625.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Melissa Mullins | 17c | 588.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Melissa Mullins | 35c | 576.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…e8c1backed Melissa Mullins | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Melissa Mullins | 17c | 484.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Bia Mesquita | 62c | 352.33$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Bia Mesquita | 64c | 323.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 313.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Melissa Mullins | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Bia Mesquita | 78c | 285.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Melissa Mullins | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Melissa Mullins | 16c | 274.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Melissa Mullins | 16c | 269$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Melissa Mullins | 30c | 250.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…c014backed Melissa Mullins | 20c | 247.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Melissa Mullins | 41c | 240.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…c8ebbacked Melissa Mullins | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Melissa Mullins | 12c | 228$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Melissa Mullins | 24c | 224.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Melissa Mullins | 16c | 224.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc7…b583backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 223.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Bia Mesquita | 75c | 219.23$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Melissa Mullins | 15c | 219$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2960backed Melissa Mullins | 48c | 207.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Melissa Mullins | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Bia Mesquita | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 239 | 61.5%147 W · 92 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Melissa Mullins | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Melissa Mullins | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bia Mesquita | 63c | 178.91$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Melissa Mullins | 36c | 170.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Melissa Mullins | 19c | 153$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Bia Mesquita | 66c | 150.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Melissa Mullins | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Melissa Mullins | 33c | 137.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Melissa Mullins | 16c | 135.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…a1a4backed Melissa Mullins | 14c | 125.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…8f69backed Bia Mesquita | 64c | 125.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…67c1backed Melissa Mullins | 15c | 120.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Melissa Mullins | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…2071backed Melissa Mullins | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Melissa Mullins | 19c | 116.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Melissa Mullins | 14c | 112.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…c2d7backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc4…1403backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 111.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Melissa Mullins | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…8270backed Melissa Mullins | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…8acdbacked Melissa Mullins | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7859…043bbacked Melissa Mullins | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…a64bbacked Melissa Mullins | 13c | 103.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…2041backed Melissa Mullins | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…0f09backed Melissa Mullins | 13c | 93.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…641ebacked Melissa Mullins | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…11acbacked Bia Mesquita | 78c | 92.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Melissa Mullins | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Melissa Mullins | 12c | 87.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Melissa Mullins | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…53e1backed Bia Mesquita | 79c | 82.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Melissa Mullins | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…b959backed Melissa Mullins | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Melissa Mullins | 20c | 73.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bia Mesquita | 67c | 63.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Melissa Mullins | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Melissa Mullins | 19c | 59.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bia Mesquita | 63c | 53.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Melissa Mullins | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.