Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fff45c7a358dbc9e0e1c2109fad2d6b760805c95352130142d42ea5c42044eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 41,069$15,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,363.82 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 68c | 22,466$15,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 17,698$10,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 12,004$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 39c | 2,631$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.49 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 72c | 2,279$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.26 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 2,180$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 3c | 1,991$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.28 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 1,837$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.8 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 39c | 1,640$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.4 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 26c | 1,481$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.23 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 1,469$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.23 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 1,263$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.64 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,184$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.21 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 49c | 1,108$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.8 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 6c | 1,064$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 924.16$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.36 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 63c | 861.66$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.85 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed No | 63c | 827.23$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.6 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 824.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 57c | 767.39$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 13c | 743.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Yes | 38c | 710.32$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.4 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 64c | 569.5$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked No | 13c | 551.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 507.32$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.93 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…11aebacked Yes | 63c | 476.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 35c | 444$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 64c | 415.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 402.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 35c | 367.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 14c | 349.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…d405backed Yes | 58c | 347.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 38c | 303.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Yes | 74c | 270.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked Yes | 37c | 258$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 35c | 243.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Yes | 38c | 205.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 72c | 201.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 42c | 190.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 183.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 63c | 182.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 179.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 27c | 174.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…e17dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 63c | 137.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…4be2backed Yes | 38c | 123.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…8b65backed No | 63c | 118.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked No | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 110.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 37c | 110.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ec9cbacked Yes | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…0072backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yes | 37c | 98.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked No | 62c | 95.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed No | 38c | 91.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 39c | 82.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffb…2581backed Yes | 71c | 70.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 40c | 66.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 44c | 61.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 55.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…255dbacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…208cbacked Yes | 54c | 54.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…836dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…48b0backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…94b5backed Yes | 38c | 51.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b7debacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 24c | 51.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 75c | 50.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc8…47efbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5048backed Yes | 66c | 45.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 39 | 84.6%33 W · 6 L | +7.9wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 62c | 45.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…85eebacked Yes | 59c | 42.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…65b3backed Yes | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?this page
- Croatia leading at halftime?No won
- Panama leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.