Fifa International · resolved market
Panama leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ef6325e7e386695b066a231f83e19ba0c0456218ff56cccfc57bf1a16e0865
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Yes | 12c | 34,036$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.33 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 6c | 14,264$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.46 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…4fd8backed Yes | 13c | 9,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 8,383$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 4,317$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.59 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 2,465$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 10c | 2,021$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,020$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 11c | 1,573$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,393$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,272$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 1c | 1,110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 946.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Yes | 14c | 704.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…0fd4backed Yes | 10c | 631.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ceb…b424backed Yes | 13c | 593.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 582$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 6c | 509.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 12c | 380.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 283.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…3b32backed Yes | 13c | 238.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 14c | 215.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 11c | 186.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…e331backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 8c | 168.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Yes | 13c | 165.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…d73cbacked Yes | 13c | 161.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Yes | 12c | 121$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…eeabbacked Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 12c | 88.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…5f00backed Yes | 14c | 84.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama leading at halftime?this page
- Croatia leading at halftime?No won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.